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InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered a broad-based beat: revenue $300.6M (+34% YoY), Non-GAAP EPS $6.52, and Adjusted EBITDA $236.7M, all above guidance, driven by the Samsung arbitration conclusion ($119M catch-up recognized) and a new HP license; ARR reached a record $553.1M (+44% YoY) .
- Against S&P Global consensus, Q2 revenue and EPS were significant beats: revenue $300.6M vs $192.9M consensus; EPS $6.52 vs $3.38 consensus; EBITDA outperformed as well; estimates will need to adjust higher for run-rate and ARR progress due to the Samsung uplift and HP catch-ups* .
- FY 2025 guidance raised: revenue to $790–$850M (midpoint +$110M to $820M), Adjusted EBITDA to $551–$569M, Non-GAAP EPS to $14.17–$14.77; Q3 2025 revenue guided to $136–$140M, with margins normalizing as catch-up revenue steps down .
- Stock-reaction catalysts: largest license in company history (Samsung >$1B TCV, ARR +$131M annually), smartphone program now ~80% market coverage, dividend increased to $0.60, and recurring revenue visibility, balanced by a Q3 guide below consensus and continued streaming enforcement timing uncertainty .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Largest license ever: “Our agreement with Samsung is … worth more than $1 billion … over eight years” with ARR +$131M annually and $119M Q2 catch-up; management raised FY revenue guidance midpoint by $110M to $820M .
- ARR and smartphone coverage: ARR $553M (+44% YoY); smartphone ARR $465M (+58% YoY), “almost 80% of the global smartphone market under license” .
- Capital returns and FCF trajectory: Q2 returned $42M (buybacks $26M; dividends $16M); CFO indicated FY 2025 free cash flow could exceed $400M, nearly double FY 2024 .
What Went Wrong
- Q3 2025 guide below consensus: company guided revenue to $136–$140M, implying a post-catch-up normalization; consensus for Q3 revenue was higher and will need recalibration* .
- Streaming licensing timing remains uncertain: “we are in continuous dialogue … and as of today, we don’t have any real concrete progress to report yet,” with multi-jurisdictional Disney enforcement ongoing .
- Working capital volatility: Q2 operating cash flow benefited from strong earnings, but working capital changes were a $94.4M headwind; convertibility window for 2027 notes (potential share issuance mechanics) adds capital-structure complexity .
Financial Results
Segment and KPI detail:
Estimate comparison (Q2 2025):
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Drivers and reconciliations:
- Samsung arbitration recognized $152M revenue in Q2 (recurring $33M + catch-up $119M) per CFO, explaining the outsized beat and ARR uplift .
- Non-GAAP definitions and Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation are provided in the release; margin expansion reflects high incremental contribution from catch-up revenue and licensing economics .
Guidance Changes
Notes: Q3 outlook covers existing licenses only; FY 2025 includes both existing licenses and expected contributions from new agreements over the balance of the year .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our agreement with Samsung is the largest license InterDigital has ever signed, worth more than $1 billion in total contract value over eight years.” — Liren Chen, President & CEO .
- “Our ARR increased 44% year over year to an all-time high of $553 million in Q2 … smartphone ARR 58% YoY to $465 million.” — Richard Brezski, CFO .
- “We now expect … non-GAAP earnings per share of $14.17 to $14.77 … we believe our free cash flow for full year 2025 could exceed $400 million.” — CFO .
- On streaming engagements: “we are in continuous dialogue … as of today, we don’t have any real concrete progress to report yet … Disney litigation … substance trial later this year and early next year.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Tax rate outlook: management sees long-term tax rate in mid-to-high teens, potentially “a tick below” prior expectations given new legislation impacts under evaluation .
- Recurring revenue baseline: Samsung quarterly recurring lifted to ~$33M from just under $20M; Q3 recurring revenue guidance $136–$140M reflects run-rate without additional catch-ups .
- Streaming/Disney: litigation not slowing dialogues with other players; timelines are uncertain; company remains open to settlement while prepared to litigate .
- Renewal economics: renewals can be higher value (Apple +15% in 2022; Samsung +67% uplift via arbitration), contingent on usage and portfolio scope .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: InterDigital delivered a major beat versus consensus on revenue and EPS; Adjusted EBITDA also exceeded consensus (see table above)*.
- Q3 2025 setup: Company’s Q3 revenue outlook ($136–$140M) is below S&P Global consensus ($153.3M), indicating potential for estimate downgrades unless additional agreements add catch-up revenue; company explicitly notes Q3 guidance excludes potential new agreements or enforcement proceeds .
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The Samsung arbitration and HP license materially reset InterDigital’s run-rate and ARR; Q2 beats reflect both recurring increases and catch-up recognition .
- FY 2025 guidance was raised across revenue, EBITDA, and EPS, signaling higher confidence in near-term execution .
- Near-term normalization: Q3 guidance below consensus underscores expected step-down absent catch-ups; watch for incremental license wins and enforcement outcomes as potential upside levers .
- Smartphone program is nearing $500M ARR target, with ~80% market coverage and favorable renewal comps; momentum likely supports medium-term valuation .
- Streaming/cloud remains a longer-dated catalyst; Disney enforcement is progressing but timing remains uncertain; continued dialogues could broaden licensing in video services .
- Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly: increased dividend to $0.60 and ongoing buybacks, supported by strong expected FCF in 2H 2025 .
- Note convertibility window for 2027 notes and call-spread structure (economic conversion price ~$106) when assessing potential dilution scenarios .